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<h1 id="firstHeading" class="firstHeading mw-first-heading"><span class="mw-page-title-main">Fuzzy-Zufallsvariable</span></h1>
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<div id="mw-content-text" class="mw-body-content mw-content-ltr" lang="de" dir="ltr"><div class="mw-content-ltr mw-parser-output" lang="de" dir="ltr"><p>Eine <b>Fuzzy-Zufallsvariable</b>, engl. <b>Fuzzy Random Variable</b>, ist eine (scharfe) <a href="Zufallsvariable" title="Zufallsvariable">Zufallsvariable</a>, die aber nur unscharf wahrgenommen werden kann. Fuzzy-Zufallsvariablen wurden erstmals 1978 von H. Kwakernaak<sup id="cite_ref-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-1"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>1<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> und 1987 ausführlicher von R. Kruse und K.D. Meyer<sup id="cite_ref-Kruse_2-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Kruse-2"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>2<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> behandelt. Man betrachte z.&nbsp;B. einen Schwarm von Maifliegen (das Beispiel stammt aus<sup id="cite_ref-Kruse_2-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Kruse-2"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>2<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup>). Das aktuelle Alter einer zufällig herausgegriffenen Fliege ist eine (positiv reellwertige) <a href="Zufallsgr%C3%B6%C3%9Fe" class="mw-redirect" title="Zufallsgröße">Zufallsgröße</a>, allerdings ist diese nicht exakt beobachtbar, weil das genaue Geburtsdatum der Maifliege nicht bekannt ist. Man wird also das Alter nur unscharf z.&nbsp;B. als „jung“, „mittleres Alter“ oder „alt“ wahrnehmen können.
</p>

<div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Definitionen">Definitionen</h2></div>
<p>Seien <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle (\Omega ,{\mathfrak {B}},P)}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<mo stretchy="false">(</mo>
<mi mathvariant="normal">Ω<!-- Ω --></mi>
<mo>,</mo>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mi mathvariant="fraktur">B</mi>
</mrow>
</mrow>
<mo>,</mo>
<mi>P</mi>
<mo stretchy="false">)</mo>
</mstyle>
</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle (\Omega ,{\mathfrak {B}},P)}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/1866fac0c01537d409be47f414c90a5fcc86a9fa.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.838ex; width:9.355ex; height:2.843ex;" alt="{\displaystyle (\Omega ,{\mathfrak {B}},P)}" loading="lazy"></span> ein <a href="Wahrscheinlichkeitsraum" title="Wahrscheinlichkeitsraum">Wahrscheinlichkeitsraum</a> und <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle S}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<mi>S</mi>
</mstyle>
</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle S}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/4611d85173cd3b508e67077d4a1252c9c05abca2.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.338ex; width:1.499ex; height:2.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle S}" loading="lazy"></span> eine Menge von <a href="Fuzzymenge" class="mw-redirect" title="Fuzzymenge">Zugehörigkeitsfunktionen</a> auf einer Grundmenge <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle U}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<mi>U</mi>
</mstyle>
</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle U}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/458a728f53b9a0274f059cd695e067c430956025.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.338ex; width:1.783ex; height:2.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle U}" loading="lazy"></span>, häufig ist <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle U=\mathbb {R} }">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<mi>U</mi>
<mo>=</mo>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mi mathvariant="double-struck">R</mi>
</mrow>
</mstyle>
</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle U=\mathbb {R} }</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/7144f67be80ffe9b4b8f4d09cde56282d86443f7.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.338ex; width:6.559ex; height:2.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle U=\mathbb {R} }" loading="lazy"></span>. Eine <i>Fuzzy-Zufallsvariable</i> <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle Y}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<mi>Y</mi>
</mstyle>
</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle Y}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/961d67d6b454b4df2301ac571808a3538b3a6d3f.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.171ex; width:1.773ex; height:2.009ex;" alt="{\displaystyle Y}" loading="lazy"></span> ist nun eine Abbildung <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle Y|\Omega \to S}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<mi>Y</mi>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mo stretchy="false">|</mo>
</mrow>
<mi mathvariant="normal">Ω<!-- Ω --></mi>
<mo stretchy="false">→<!-- → --></mo>
<mi>S</mi>
</mstyle>
</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle Y|\Omega \to S}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/aaf06064348f9f5a66d31a1e15dbc80261450ac1.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.838ex; width:9.212ex; height:2.843ex;" alt="{\displaystyle Y|\Omega \to S}" loading="lazy"></span>, wobei an <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle S}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<mi>S</mi>
</mstyle>
</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle S}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/4611d85173cd3b508e67077d4a1252c9c05abca2.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.338ex; width:1.499ex; height:2.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle S}" loading="lazy"></span> bzw. an die resultierenden Zugehörigkeitsfunktionen
</p>
<dl><dd><span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle m_{Y(\omega )}(x),\quad \omega \in \Omega ,\quad x\in U}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<msub>
<mi>m</mi>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mi>Y</mi>
<mo stretchy="false">(</mo>
<mi>ω<!-- ω --></mi>
<mo stretchy="false">)</mo>
</mrow>
</msub>
<mo stretchy="false">(</mo>
<mi>x</mi>
<mo stretchy="false">)</mo>
<mo>,</mo>
<mspace width="1em"></mspace>
<mi>ω<!-- ω --></mi>
<mo>∈<!-- ∈ --></mo>
<mi mathvariant="normal">Ω<!-- Ω --></mi>
<mo>,</mo>
<mspace width="1em"></mspace>
<mi>x</mi>
<mo>∈<!-- ∈ --></mo>
<mi>U</mi>
</mstyle>
</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle m_{Y(\omega )}(x),\quad \omega \in \Omega ,\quad x\in U}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/340d1ac13b6894ef62b370e2fa4458ff09456a34.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -1.171ex; width:27.598ex; height:3.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle m_{Y(\omega )}(x),\quad \omega \in \Omega ,\quad x\in U}" loading="lazy"></span></dd></dl>
<p>noch (hier unterdrückte) Forderungen gestellt werden, die die <a href="Messbare_Funktion" title="Messbare Funktion">Messbarkeit</a> von <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle Y}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<mi>Y</mi>
</mstyle>
</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle Y}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/961d67d6b454b4df2301ac571808a3538b3a6d3f.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.171ex; width:1.773ex; height:2.009ex;" alt="{\displaystyle Y}" loading="lazy"></span> sichern, siehe aber<sup id="cite_ref-Kruse_2-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Kruse-2"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>2<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup>. Sei weiter <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle O}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<mi>O</mi>
</mstyle>
</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle O}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/9d70e1d0d87e2ef1092ea1ffe2923d9933ff18fc.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.338ex; width:1.773ex; height:2.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle O}" loading="lazy"></span> die Menge aller scharfen Zufallsvariablen auf <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle U}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<mi>U</mi>
</mstyle>
</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle U}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/458a728f53b9a0274f059cd695e067c430956025.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.338ex; width:1.783ex; height:2.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle U}" loading="lazy"></span>, hier <i>Menge der Originale</i> genannt. Eine wesentliche Rolle, insbesondere für die Grundlagen einer Statistik mit unscharfen Daten, spielt nun die Fuzzymenge <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle O_{Y}}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<msub>
<mi>O</mi>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mi>Y</mi>
</mrow>
</msub>
</mstyle>
</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle O_{Y}}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/01c352fed89dfddfd11bb1ca2136806320d8f947.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.671ex; width:3.259ex; height:2.509ex;" alt="{\displaystyle O_{Y}}" loading="lazy"></span> aller möglichen Originale der Fuzzy-Zufallsvariablen <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle Y}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<mi>Y</mi>
</mstyle>
</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle Y}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/961d67d6b454b4df2301ac571808a3538b3a6d3f.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.171ex; width:1.773ex; height:2.009ex;" alt="{\displaystyle Y}" loading="lazy"></span>. Diese Fuzzymenge hat die Zugehörigkeitsfunktion
</p>
<dl><dd><span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle m_{O_{Y}}(Z)=\inf _{\omega \in \Omega }m_{Y(\omega )}(Z(\omega )),\quad Z\in O}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<msub>
<mi>m</mi>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<msub>
<mi>O</mi>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mi>Y</mi>
</mrow>
</msub>
</mrow>
</msub>
<mo stretchy="false">(</mo>
<mi>Z</mi>
<mo stretchy="false">)</mo>
<mo>=</mo>
<munder>
<mo movablelimits="true" form="prefix">inf</mo>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mi>ω<!-- ω --></mi>
<mo>∈<!-- ∈ --></mo>
<mi mathvariant="normal">Ω<!-- Ω --></mi>
</mrow>
</munder>
<msub>
<mi>m</mi>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mi>Y</mi>
<mo stretchy="false">(</mo>
<mi>ω<!-- ω --></mi>
<mo stretchy="false">)</mo>
</mrow>
</msub>
<mo stretchy="false">(</mo>
<mi>Z</mi>
<mo stretchy="false">(</mo>
<mi>ω<!-- ω --></mi>
<mo stretchy="false">)</mo>
<mo stretchy="false">)</mo>
<mo>,</mo>
<mspace width="1em"></mspace>
<mi>Z</mi>
<mo>∈<!-- ∈ --></mo>
<mi>O</mi>
</mstyle>
</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle m_{O_{Y}}(Z)=\inf _{\omega \in \Omega }m_{Y(\omega )}(Z(\omega )),\quad Z\in O}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/bf0d051d8b642d8333ac6f1fb0a02d00093c69ad.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -2.171ex; width:37.213ex; height:4.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle m_{O_{Y}}(Z)=\inf _{\omega \in \Omega }m_{Y(\omega )}(Z(\omega )),\quad Z\in O}" loading="lazy"></span>.</dd></dl>
<p><span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle m_{O_{Y}}(Z)}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<msub>
<mi>m</mi>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<msub>
<mi>O</mi>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mi>Y</mi>
</mrow>
</msub>
</mrow>
</msub>
<mo stretchy="false">(</mo>
<mi>Z</mi>
<mo stretchy="false">)</mo>
</mstyle>
</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle m_{O_{Y}}(Z)}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/1314c4ec3a045c32528f34f53a011a8147fee39f.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -1.005ex; width:8.198ex; height:3.009ex;" alt="{\displaystyle m_{O_{Y}}(Z)}" loading="lazy"></span> beschreibt den Grad der <a href="Possibilit%C3%A4tstheorie" title="Possibilitätstheorie">Möglichkeit</a>, dass <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle Z}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<mi>Z</mi>
</mstyle>
</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle Z}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/1cc6b75e09a8aa3f04d8584b11db534f88fb56bd.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.338ex; width:1.68ex; height:2.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle Z}" loading="lazy"></span> ein (nichtbeobachtbares) Original von <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle Y}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
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<mi>Y</mi>
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<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle Y}</annotation>
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</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/961d67d6b454b4df2301ac571808a3538b3a6d3f.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.171ex; width:1.773ex; height:2.009ex;" alt="{\displaystyle Y}" loading="lazy"></span> ist. Etwas salopper ausgedrückt: Welche (scharfen) Zufallsgrößen <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle Z}">
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<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
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<mi>Z</mi>
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<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle Z}</annotation>
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</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/1cc6b75e09a8aa3f04d8584b11db534f88fb56bd.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.338ex; width:1.68ex; height:2.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle Z}" loading="lazy"></span> sind möglich, wenn man nur das unscharfe <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle Y}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<mi>Y</mi>
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<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle Y}</annotation>
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</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/961d67d6b454b4df2301ac571808a3538b3a6d3f.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.171ex; width:1.773ex; height:2.009ex;" alt="{\displaystyle Y}" loading="lazy"></span> beobachten kann. Auf obiges Beispiel mit dem Schwarm von Maifliegen bezogen: Welche (scharfen) Alterskonstellationen sind möglich, wenn man nur Zufallsvariablen mit den Werten "jung", "mittleres Alter" und "alt" beobachten kann.
</p>
<div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Erwartungswert_einer_Fuzzy-Zufallsvariablen">Erwartungswert einer Fuzzy-Zufallsvariablen</h2></div>
<p>Der <a href="Erwartungswert" title="Erwartungswert">Erwartungswert</a> <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle EY}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<mi>E</mi>
<mi>Y</mi>
</mstyle>
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<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle EY}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/6d42c02bf52fb8d93b2ef696dc59b5a04bcba413.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.338ex; width:3.549ex; height:2.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle EY}" loading="lazy"></span> einer Fuzzy-Zufallsvariablen <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle Y}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<mi>Y</mi>
</mstyle>
</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle Y}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/961d67d6b454b4df2301ac571808a3538b3a6d3f.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.171ex; width:1.773ex; height:2.009ex;" alt="{\displaystyle Y}" loading="lazy"></span> ist die Fuzzymenge auf <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle U}">
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<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<mi>U</mi>
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<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle U}</annotation>
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</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/458a728f53b9a0274f059cd695e067c430956025.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.338ex; width:1.783ex; height:2.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle U}" loading="lazy"></span>, die gemäß dem sogenannten <a href="Erweiterungsprinzip_in_der_Theorie_der_Fuzzymengen" title="Erweiterungsprinzip in der Theorie der Fuzzymengen">Erweiterungsprinzip </a><sup id="cite_ref-3" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-3"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>3<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> durch
</p>
<dl><dd><span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle m_{EY}(x)=\sup _{Z\in O:EZ=x}m_{O_{Y}}(Z),\quad x\in U}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
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<mi>E</mi>
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<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mi>Z</mi>
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<mo>:</mo>
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<mi>Z</mi>
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<msub>
<mi>m</mi>
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<mi>O</mi>
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<mo>,</mo>
<mspace width="1em"></mspace>
<mi>x</mi>
<mo>∈<!-- ∈ --></mo>
<mi>U</mi>
</mstyle>
</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle m_{EY}(x)=\sup _{Z\in O:EZ=x}m_{O_{Y}}(Z),\quad x\in U}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/697ff52448e3fe21694a99fd9f7e76fa25ea9bf3.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -2.505ex; width:37.573ex; height:4.509ex;" alt="{\displaystyle m_{EY}(x)=\sup _{Z\in O:EZ=x}m_{O_{Y}}(Z),\quad x\in U}" loading="lazy"></span></dd></dl>
<p>erhalten wird. Dieser Erwartungswert stimmt mit dem Erwartungswert einer <a href="Zuf%C3%A4llige_Fuzzymenge" title="Zufällige Fuzzymenge">zufälligen Fuzzymenge</a> überein.<sup id="cite_ref-Kruse_2-3" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Kruse-2"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>2<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> Im Spezialfall <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle U=\mathbb {R} }">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<mi>U</mi>
<mo>=</mo>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mi mathvariant="double-struck">R</mi>
</mrow>
</mstyle>
</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle U=\mathbb {R} }</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/7144f67be80ffe9b4b8f4d09cde56282d86443f7.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.338ex; width:6.559ex; height:2.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle U=\mathbb {R} }" loading="lazy"></span> kann <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle EY}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<mi>E</mi>
<mi>Y</mi>
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<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle EY}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/6d42c02bf52fb8d93b2ef696dc59b5a04bcba413.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.338ex; width:3.549ex; height:2.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle EY}" loading="lazy"></span> mittels der <a href="Fuzzymenge" class="mw-redirect" title="Fuzzymenge">Alpha-Schnitte</a> <span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle (EY)_{\alpha }}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<mo stretchy="false">(</mo>
<mi>E</mi>
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<mi>α<!-- α --></mi>
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</msub>
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</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle (EY)_{\alpha }}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/48077f203d03916b88b718f399f67b2fd03a4df3.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.838ex; width:6.642ex; height:2.843ex;" alt="{\displaystyle (EY)_{\alpha }}" loading="lazy"></span> konstruiert werden durch die Intervalle
</p>
<dl><dd><span class="mwe-math-element mwe-math-element-inline"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle (EY)_{\alpha }=[E\inf(Y(\omega ))_{\alpha },E\sup(Y(\omega ))_{\alpha }],\quad \alpha \in (0,1]}">
<semantics>
<mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD">
<mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0">
<mo stretchy="false">(</mo>
<mi>E</mi>
<mi>Y</mi>
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<mi>α<!-- α --></mi>
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<mo stretchy="false">(</mo>
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<mo stretchy="false">(</mo>
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<mo stretchy="false">)</mo>
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<mo>∈<!-- ∈ --></mo>
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<mn>0</mn>
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</mrow>
<annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle (EY)_{\alpha }=[E\inf(Y(\omega ))_{\alpha },E\sup(Y(\omega ))_{\alpha }],\quad \alpha \in (0,1]}</annotation>
</semantics>
</math></span><img src="./_assets_/eb734a37dd21ce173a46342d1cc64c92/92d5c1be5ff283bbc2d06e2d6ad43911b277250b.svg" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.838ex; width:51.385ex; height:2.843ex;" alt="{\displaystyle (EY)_{\alpha }=[E\inf(Y(\omega ))_{\alpha },E\sup(Y(\omega ))_{\alpha }],\quad \alpha \in (0,1]}" loading="lazy"></span>.</dd></dl>
<div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Weiteres">Weiteres</h2></div>
<p>Für Fuzzy-Zufallsvariablen kann auch eine <a href="Varianz_(Stochastik)" title="Varianz (Stochastik)">Varianz</a> definiert werden.<sup id="cite_ref-Kruse_2-4" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Kruse-2"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>2<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> Sie ist eine Fuzzymenge. Im Unterschied dazu ist die Varianz einer zufälligen Fuzzymenge eine reelle Zahl.<sup id="cite_ref-4" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-4"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>4<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup>
</p>
<div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Einzelnachweise">Einzelnachweise</h2></div>
<ol class="references">
<li id="cite_note-1"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><a href="#cite_ref-1">↑</a></span> <span class="reference-text">Kwakernaak, H. (1978).<i> Fuzzy random variables. Part I: Definitions and theorems</i>. Information Sciences 15, 1–15</span>
</li>
<li id="cite_note-Kruse-2"><span class="mw-cite-backlink">↑ <sup><a href="#cite_ref-Kruse_2-0">a</a></sup> <sup><a href="#cite_ref-Kruse_2-1">b</a></sup> <sup><a href="#cite_ref-Kruse_2-2">c</a></sup> <sup><a href="#cite_ref-Kruse_2-3">d</a></sup> <sup><a href="#cite_ref-Kruse_2-4">e</a></sup></span> <span class="reference-text">Kruse, R. and Meyer, K.D. (1987). <i>Statistics with Vague Data</i>. Reidel, Dordrecht</span>
</li>
<li id="cite_note-3"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><a href="#cite_ref-3">↑</a></span> <span class="reference-text">D. Dubois and H. Prade (1980) <i>Fuzzy Sets and Systems</i>. Academic Press, New York</span>
</li>
<li id="cite_note-4"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><a href="#cite_ref-4">↑</a></span> <span class="reference-text">Körner, R. (1997).<i> On the variance of fuzzy random variables</i>. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 92, 83–93</span>
</li>
</ol>
<div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Literaturhinweise">Literaturhinweise</h2></div>
<ul><li>I. Couso, D. Dubois and Sanchez, L. (2014).<i> Random Sets and Random Fuzzy Sets as Ill-Perceived Random Variables</i>. Springer</li>
<li>I. Couso and Dubois, D. (2009). <i>On the variability of the concept of variance for fuzzy random variables</i>. IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Syst. 17, 1070–1080</li>
<li>V. Krätschmer (2001). <i>A unified approach to fuzzy random variables</i>. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 123, 1–9</li></ul></div><!--htdig_noindex--><div><div class="zim-footer">
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